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财务分析

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2007-09-30|2007-06-30|2007-03-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |2.9140    |1.7053    |1.3400    |1.3500    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |2.9163    |1.7072    |1.3400    |1.3100    |
|每股净资产(元)    |6.3598    |5.1298    |8.4400    |6.1900    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |5.9600    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |45.8200   |33.2400   |15.8800   |21.8500   |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.5655    |0.5441    |2.0673    |2.0673    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|4.2403    |3.0316    |4.2870    |2.0462    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|58085.83  |38567.86  |20405.00  |77022.89  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |49077.83  |
|投资收益(万元)    |163165.52 |94269.94  |36664.34  |32872.28  |
|净利润(万元)      |167076.05 |97777.48  |38392.16  |38792.30  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2006-09-30|2006-06-30|2006-03-31|2005-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.6994    |0.3518    |0.1320    |0.3860    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.6968    |0.3474    |0.1320    |0.3170    |
|每股净资产(元)    |5.5200    |5.1700    |4.9500    |4.8200    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |5.4000    |5.0500    |4.8400    |4.7000    |
|净资产收益率(%)   |12.6600   |6.8000    |2.6700    |8.0000    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|2.0488    |2.0485    |2.0476    |2.0461    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.6251    |1.2775    |1.0607    |0.9284    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|59067.45  |40888.63  |24148.57  |76732.17  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |46714.05  |
|投资收益(万元)    |25701.19  |19255.18  |5820.88   |3318.26   |
|净利润(万元)      |29476.49  |23326.80  |8843.11   |11052.28  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2007-09-30|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|2004-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |2.9140    |1.3500    |0.3860    |0.3330    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |2.9163    |1.3100    |0.3170    |0.1650    |
|每股净资产(元)    |6.3598    |6.1900    |4.8200    |3.7200    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.5655    |2.0673    |2.0461    |1.2705    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|4.2403    |2.0462    |0.9284    |0.8628    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |0.4948    |0.6557    |0.4752    |0.6235    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |-0.0341   |-0.2061   |-0.2508   |0.2419    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2007-09-30|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|2004-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|58085.83  |77022.89  |76732.17  |82077.52  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |49077.83  |46714.05  |48247.52  |
|经营费用(万元)    |22314.32  |24229.05  |24120.66  |22218.61  |
|管理费用(万元)    |7626.84   |12436.48  |11897.76  |12052.50  |
|财务费用(万元)    |3069.96   |1791.41   |1502.50   |-244.27   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |8.22      |2.49      |10.26     |11.21     |
|营业利润(万元)    |168595.70 |10529.37  |9301.27   |14579.68  |
|投资收益(万元)    |163165.52 |32872.28  |3318.26   |-545.08   |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |250.00    |860.00    |3269.96   |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |-159.57   |-1105.97  |404.15    |764.30    |
|利润总额(万元)    |168436.13 |42545.67  |13883.68  |18068.86  |
|所得税(万元)      |577.31    |2598.58   |507.51    |2614.27   |
|净利润(万元)      |167076.05 |38792.30  |11052.28  |11684.85  |
|销售毛利率(%)     |66.67     |65.41     |62.51     |60.32     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |63.72     |60.88     |58.78     |
|净资产收益率(%)   |45.82     |21.85     |8.00      |8.96      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2007-09-30|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|2004-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |1.09      |2.02      |2.16      |2.90      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |1.83      |3.06      |3.66      |3.69      |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.14      |0.28      |0.30      |0.37      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |-1.69     |0.38      |-6.51     |21.82     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |445.24    |13.20     |-36.20    |36.75     |
|税后利润增长率(%) |466.81    |250.99    |-5.41     |17.91     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |130.34    |28.51     |5.92      |10.25     |
|总资产增长率(%)   |74.25     |19.26     |-0.04     |29.26     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2007-09-30|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|2004-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |492153.11 |319867.07 |252089.87 |252203.06 |
|负债总额(万元)  |97597.28  |94428.03  |82984.16  |89012.83  |
|流动负债(万元)  |92212.73  |86590.60  |76876.83  |76981.37  |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |6107.33   |12031.47  |
|货币资金(万元)  |13808.70  |15766.19  |21675.56  |28866.25  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |34716.59  |28771.19  |21535.72  |20339.57  |
|其他应收款(万元)|17777.04  |11956.19  |9734.03   |40329.76  |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |364646.72 |177577.67 |138179.24 |130461.05 |
|资产负债率(%)   |19.8306   |31.3527   |32.9184   |35.2941   |
|股东权益比率(%) |74.0921   |59.0643   |54.8134   |51.7286   |
|流动比率(%)     |1.0965    |0.9861    |1.0076    |1.4643    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.8861    |0.8366    |0.8323    |1.2933    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2007-09-30|2006-12-31|2005-12-31|2004-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |73934.99  |84468.27  |76644.38  |84231.17  |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |28372.61  |18799.26  |13625.51  |21853.49  |
|现金净流量(万元)|-1957.49  |-5909.37  |-7190.69  |8478.90   |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |1786.75   |37.97     |-37.65    |48.00     |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |127.2858  |109.6665  |99.8856   |102.6239  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |48.4613   |123.2824  |187.0241  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-15.2333  |-65.0607  |72.5632   |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-7641.89  |-19891.91 |-5845.26  |-21434.47 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-22688.22 |-4816.72  |-14970.95 |8059.88   |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2007-09-30    |2006-09-30    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|应收票据(万元)      |9854.38       |4369.54       |125.52      |
|长期股权投资(万元)  |275918.89     |88261.32      |212.62      |
|固定资产原价(万元)  |-             |126083.43     |-100.00     |
|减:累计折旧(万元)  |-             |33162.19      |-100.00     |
|固定资产净值(万元)  |-             |92921.24      |-100.00     |
|固定资产合计(万元)  |-             |95110.89      |-100.00     |
|无形资产及其        |              |              |            |
|他资产合计(万元)    |-             |16983.71      |-100.00     |
|资产总计(万元)      |492153.11     |282447.55     |74.25       |
|其他应付款(万元)    |34583.39      |22575.76      |53.19       |
|长期负债合计(万元)  |-             |6605.00       |-100.00     |
|股本(万元)          |57335.80      |28667.90      |100.00      |
|股本净额(万元)      |-             |28667.90      |-100.00     |
|未分配利润(万元)    |243119.99     |46589.54      |421.83      |
|负债和股东          |              |              |            |
|权益总计(万元)      |492153.11     |282447.55     |74.25       |
|营业利润(万元)      |168595.70     |30921.43      |445.24      |
|加:投资收益(万元)   |163165.52     |25701.19      |534.86      |
|利润总额(万元)      |168436.13     |31527.20      |434.26      |
|净利润(万元)        |167076.05     |29476.49      |466.81      |
|收到其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |15627.98      |7103.22       |120.01      |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |28372.61      |1503.78       |1786.76     |
|借款所收到的        |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |36703.00      |22533.52      |62.88       |
|(筹资)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |36953.87      |23579.02      |56.72       |
|偿还债务所          |              |              |            |
|支付现金(万元)      |56384.00      |26364.00      |113.87      |
|(筹资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |59642.09      |28870.14      |106.59      |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-22688.22     |-5291.12      |-328.80     |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |-1957.49      |-7648.80      |74.41       |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|净利润(万元)        |167076.05     |29476.49      |466.81      |
|投资损失(减:收益)  |-             |-16892.01     |100.00      |
|加:经营性应收项目减|              |              |            |
|少(减:增加)(万元)  |-             |-12627.23     |100.00      |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |-1957.49      |-7648.80      |74.41       |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2006年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    24148.46|     31.35|     8843.11|     22.80|
|第二季度      |    16744.97|     21.74|    14483.69|     37.34|
|第三季度      |    18189.02|     23.62|     6149.69|     15.85|
|第四季度      |    17940.44|     23.29|     9315.82|     24.01|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2005年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    22411.25|     29.21|     4457.26|     40.33|
|第二季度      |    14409.01|     18.78|     3012.23|     27.25|
|第三季度      |    17949.27|     23.39|     1677.64|     15.18|
|第四季度      |    21962.64|     28.62|     1905.15|     17.24|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2007-09-30
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.0180|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.5585|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.3484|    3.2558|    无警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      3.7362|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.1180|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.69|     -0.92|     -1.95|     -0.75|
|总资产现金回收率      |      0.51|      0.80|     -0.82|     -0.18|
|净利润率              |      0.76|      0.54|      0.36|     -0.30|
|应收帐款              |      0.09|     -0.07|     -0.01|      0.22|
|经营预警综合指数      |      0.12|      0.06|     -0.76|     -0.30|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -0.47|     -0.89|     -1.51|     -0.78|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -0.56|     -0.17|     -4.48|     -0.22|
|留存盈利              |      1.61|      0.54|      2.30|     -0.30|
|净资产收益率          |    148.28|    138.50|    112.67|     51.50|
|投资预警综合指数      |     29.67|     27.49|     21.20|      9.94|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.23|      0.32|      0.11|      0.19|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.23|      0.32|      0.11|      0.19|
|支付现金股利          |      1.12|     -0.03|      4.29|      1.00|
|银行贷款率            |      0.84|      1.00|          |          |
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.40|      0.62|      0.25|      0.19|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |      9.14|      8.39|      6.47|      2.98|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘
作者:lxg8667591  2007-11-20 19:20:53  [回复此主题]